Will the $1.29M FalconX deposit break Polygon's (POL) support at $0.08934 in 2026?

Polygon (POL) is currently testing a critical demand zone at $0.08934 following a $1.29 million deposit to the FalconX exchange, which has increased immediate selling pressure. While large exchange inflows are typically bearish, a reversing RSI and a potential double-bottom pattern suggest POL could still rebound toward $0.09846 if support holds.

Polygon (POL) is currently fighting to maintain its $0.08934 support level as a substantial $1.29 million deposit into the FalconX exchange introduces new sell-side liquidity into the market. Whether this demand zone holds depends largely on the completion of a double-bottom technical pattern, which currently offers a glimmer of hope for a reversal toward the $0.09846 resistance mark. For traders, this level represents a line in the sand between a bullish recovery and a deeper correction.

The deposit to FalconX, a major institutional crypto brokerage, has triggered concerns about an impending sell-off by a large-scale holder. In the current 2026 market environment, institutional movements of this size frequently dictate short-term price direction for Layer-2 assets. However, despite the influx of tokens to the exchange, the demand zone has not yet buckled, indicating that there is still significant buying interest at these multi-month lows.

Technically, the outlook is not entirely bleak. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing signs of a reversal from oversold territory, a move that often precedes a price bounce. If the $0.08934 level can withstand the current pressure, the resulting "double-bottom" formation would provide a strong technical foundation for a rally. This pattern is highly watched by algorithmic traders and could spark a wave of momentum buying if the price begins to scale toward $0.098.

For US-based investors, this event underscores the volatility inherent in institutional liquidity shifts. Polygon’s ability to absorb this $1.29 million sell-side pressure without breaking its market structure will be a vital test for the project’s resilience in 2026. As other Layer-2 solutions compete for dominance, POL’s price stability at this juncture will likely influence broader sentiment regarding the asset's long-term utility and value retention.

Moving forward, market participants should watch the daily closing price of POL with high scrutiny. A close below $0.08934 would likely invalidate the bullish recovery thesis and lead to a search for lower support levels. Conversely, if the RSI continues its upward trajectory and the price breaks above $0.09846, it would confirm that the FalconX deposit was successfully absorbed, potentially clearing the path for a sustained upward trend.

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